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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.47+1.37vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-0.16vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.12vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.31+1.42vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.62+1.86vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+0.90vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.18-2.87vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-2.29vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.11-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37University of Southern California2.470.3%1st Place
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1.84University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.5%1st Place
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4.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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5.42University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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6.86University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.9California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.13University of Southern California1.180.1%1st Place
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5.71University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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7.64Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Coakley | 28.7% | 30.6% | 24.1% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 46.4% | 33.3% | 13.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 7.4% | 10.6% | 20.1% | 19.6% | 19.6% | 13.8% | 7.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Brett Farrell | 3.4% | 4.2% | 8.7% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 3.7% |
| Grant Lin | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 23.4% | 23.1% |
| Levi Matsushima | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 20.0% | 25.9% | 21.0% |
| Aaron Kiyotoki | 7.8% | 10.7% | 18.3% | 22.6% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 19.8% | 18.4% | 13.4% | 6.4% |
| Conor McGee | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 21.6% | 45.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.