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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.31+4.45vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.20+3.81vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.18+1.13vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-2.24vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.97vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.47-3.64vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.62-0.01vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.11-0.39vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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5.81University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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4.13University of Southern California1.180.1%1st Place
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1.76University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.5%1st Place
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4.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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2.36University of Southern California2.470.3%1st Place
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6.99University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.61Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
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6.86California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Farrell | 3.6% | 4.1% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 17.7% | 10.8% | 3.8% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 22.4% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 6.6% |
| Aaron Kiyotoki | 6.2% | 11.5% | 19.6% | 21.6% | 19.3% | 13.1% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Neil Stapleton | 50.0% | 31.8% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 7.2% | 12.4% | 22.1% | 20.2% | 17.3% | 12.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| John Coakley | 27.7% | 31.9% | 24.0% | 11.0% | 4.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 19.7% | 27.4% | 21.8% |
| Conor McGee | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 8.5% | 14.7% | 19.2% | 45.4% |
| Levi Matsushima | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 19.4% | 24.5% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.