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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.47+1.42vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-0.14vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.31+2.56vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.180.00vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.97vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-0.38vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-0.08vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.11-0.36vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.62-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42University of Southern California2.470.3%1st Place
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1.86University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.5%1st Place
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5.56University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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4.0University of Southern California1.180.1%1st Place
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4.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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5.62University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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6.92California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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7.64Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
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6.95University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Coakley | 28.8% | 29.9% | 21.9% | 12.0% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 45.7% | 33.3% | 12.9% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 2.6% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 13.6% | 18.0% | 20.0% | 18.0% | 11.8% | 4.2% |
| Aaron Kiyotoki | 7.9% | 12.7% | 18.8% | 22.6% | 18.1% | 12.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Grace Carrick | 8.3% | 11.3% | 22.4% | 20.7% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 2.8% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 21.0% | 17.7% | 12.2% | 5.1% |
| Levi Matsushima | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 20.9% | 25.0% | 21.1% |
| Conor McGee | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 20.7% | 45.5% |
| Grant Lin | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 18.3% | 25.3% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.