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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+3.08vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.47+0.52vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.18+1.12vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-2.29vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.31+0.39vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.62+0.94vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-1.28vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-1.10vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.11-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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2.52University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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4.12University of Southern California1.180.1%1st Place
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1.71University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.5%1st Place
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5.39University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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6.94University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.72University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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6.9California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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7.62Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Carrick | 7.9% | 10.8% | 19.0% | 21.7% | 19.4% | 12.6% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| John Coakley | 23.3% | 32.0% | 24.9% | 11.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Kiyotoki | 7.4% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 23.3% | 18.3% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Neil Stapleton | 54.1% | 27.7% | 13.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 2.5% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 5.0% |
| Grant Lin | 0.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 19.7% | 24.7% | 22.6% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 2.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 22.1% | 18.3% | 13.0% | 5.6% |
| Levi Matsushima | 1.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 20.5% | 24.4% | 21.9% |
| Conor McGee | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 22.2% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.