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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.47+1.38vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.18+2.27vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-1.23vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.20+1.63vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.31+0.41vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.89vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-0.11vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.62-1.08vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.11-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38University of Southern California2.470.3%1st Place
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4.27University of Southern California1.180.1%1st Place
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1.77University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.5%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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5.41University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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4.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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6.89California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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6.92University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.62Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Coakley | 28.6% | 31.3% | 21.9% | 11.8% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Kiyotoki | 5.9% | 10.0% | 19.2% | 20.8% | 19.8% | 14.0% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Neil Stapleton | 50.4% | 31.1% | 11.8% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 17.5% | 20.2% | 18.3% | 12.6% | 4.8% |
| Brett Farrell | 2.7% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 5.1% |
| Grace Carrick | 6.0% | 11.9% | 20.8% | 19.9% | 20.8% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Levi Matsushima | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 14.0% | 19.9% | 26.4% | 20.0% |
| Grant Lin | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 20.7% | 22.8% | 23.6% |
| Conor McGee | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 20.9% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.