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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut1.93+0.77vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.37+1.09vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.81-1.11vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.18-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77University of Connecticut1.930.5%1st Place
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3.09Bates College0.370.1%1st Place
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1.89Tufts University1.810.4%1st Place
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3.24Bates College0.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Fuller | 45.9% | 35.9% | 13.3% | 4.9% |
| Amy Macdonald | 8.4% | 14.6% | 36.1% | 40.9% |
| Pierre DuPont | 38.2% | 39.0% | 17.9% | 4.9% |
| Peter Giordano | 7.5% | 10.5% | 32.7% | 49.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.