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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.02+5.38vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+8.03vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.48+2.25vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.29+1.72vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.08+5.29vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.07+5.59vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.40-1.27vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.42+0.58vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.06-3.03vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.07+0.49vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.39-5.30vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.56-0.71vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.81vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.86-5.27vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.00-4.25vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-0.81vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-9.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Boston College2.029.6%1st Place
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10.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.402.3%1st Place
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5.25Harvard University2.4812.8%1st Place
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5.72Yale University2.2910.5%1st Place
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10.29Tufts University1.083.8%1st Place
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11.59Boston University1.071.8%1st Place
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5.73Roger Williams University2.4012.6%1st Place
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8.58University of Rhode Island1.425.5%1st Place
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5.97Bowdoin College2.0610.3%1st Place
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10.49Northeastern University1.072.4%1st Place
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5.7Dartmouth College2.3911.3%1st Place
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11.29University of Vermont0.562.2%1st Place
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13.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.7%1st Place
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8.73Brown University1.865.0%1st Place
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10.75Connecticut College1.002.5%1st Place
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15.19Maine Maritime Academy-0.820.8%1st Place
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7.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.586.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Keeves | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Porter Bell | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 5.3% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 12.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 5.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 25.2% | 21.9% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| William Hurd | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Isaac Thompson | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 15.8% | 54.5% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.