Race 2 - protest | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.1

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Amy Macdonald & Mary Ferguson

Bates College

0.37

+2.10

vs Predicted
2

Sarah Fuller & Alexandra Rice

University of Connecticut

1.93

-0.21

vs Predicted
3

Pierre DuPont & Margaret Veltri

Tufts University

1.81

-1.10

vs Predicted
4

Peter Giordano & Katherine Schell

Bates College

0.18

-0.79

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

3.1

Amy Macdonald & Mary Ferguson

Bates College

0.37

0.1%

1st Place
1.79

Sarah Fuller & Alexandra Rice

University of Connecticut

1.93

0.4%

1st Place
1.9

Pierre DuPont & Margaret Veltri

Tufts University

1.81

0.4%

1st Place
3.21

Peter Giordano & Katherine Schell

Bates College

0.18

0.1%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Amy Macdonald	9.9%	13.4%	33.7%	43.0%
Sarah Fuller	43.8%	37.0%	15.8%	3.4%
Pierre DuPont	38.6%	38.5%	17.1%	5.8%
Peter Giordano	7.7%	11.1%	33.4%	47.8%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.