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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.18+2.23vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.81-0.12vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut1.93-1.20vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.37-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23Bates College0.180.1%1st Place
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1.88Tufts University1.810.4%1st Place
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1.8University of Connecticut1.930.4%1st Place
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3.09Bates College0.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Giordano | 8.1% | 11.9% | 29.3% | 50.7% |
| Pierre DuPont | 38.8% | 38.5% | 18.6% | 4.1% |
| Sarah Fuller | 44.3% | 35.7% | 15.3% | 4.7% |
| Amy Macdonald | 8.8% | 13.9% | 36.8% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.