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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.39+0.65vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut1.44+0.46vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.48+0.33vs Predicted
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4Bates College1.32-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.65Tufts University2.390.5%1st Place
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2.46University of Connecticut1.440.2%1st Place
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3.33Bates College0.480.1%1st Place
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2.56Bates College1.320.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 54.8% | 29.6% | 11.8% | 3.8% |
| Julia Fuller | 19.1% | 31.9% | 32.5% | 16.5% |
| Matthew Moss-Hawkins | 8.6% | 10.4% | 20.8% | 60.2% |
| Edward Moan | 17.5% | 28.1% | 34.9% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.