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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.34+1.80vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-0.09+1.48vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University-1.19+2.07vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University0.34-1.06vs Predicted
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5Hope College0.28-1.99vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.58-1.74vs Predicted
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7Miami University-2.69-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Ohio State University0.340.3%1st Place
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3.48University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.07Northern Michigan University-1.190.1%1st Place
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2.94Western Michigan University0.340.2%1st Place
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3.01Hope College0.280.2%1st Place
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4.26Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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6.44Miami University-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Aspery | 26.4% | 21.4% | 20.7% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Drew Blackburn | 14.3% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 20.1% | 17.6% | 10.5% | 1.8% |
| Benjamin Diamond | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 19.6% | 36.8% | 16.0% |
| Ryan Mabie | 23.2% | 20.3% | 19.9% | 18.6% | 12.2% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Libby Reeg | 21.0% | 22.6% | 18.9% | 17.9% | 12.1% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| Addison Amstutz | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 23.3% | 22.9% | 5.6% |
| Brittany Nordhaus | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 13.2% | 74.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.