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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.34+1.78vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.34+0.88vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University-1.19+2.05vs Predicted
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4Hope College0.28-0.95vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.09-1.41vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.58-1.78vs Predicted
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7Miami University-2.69-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78Ohio State University0.340.3%1st Place
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2.88Western Michigan University0.340.2%1st Place
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5.05Northern Michigan University-1.190.1%1st Place
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3.05Hope College0.280.2%1st Place
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3.59University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.22Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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6.43Miami University-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Aspery | 27.0% | 22.4% | 19.1% | 14.9% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Mabie | 23.0% | 24.6% | 17.3% | 18.3% | 11.1% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Diamond | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 18.3% | 37.2% | 15.9% |
| Libby Reeg | 21.2% | 20.1% | 19.3% | 19.1% | 13.5% | 6.2% | 0.6% |
| Drew Blackburn | 12.7% | 16.6% | 19.3% | 19.6% | 17.2% | 11.7% | 2.9% |
| Addison Amstutz | 9.4% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 24.4% | 21.8% | 5.3% |
| Brittany Nordhaus | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 12.6% | 74.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.