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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College0.28+1.89vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.34+0.82vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.58+1.18vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.34-1.08vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.09-1.46vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-1.37-0.75vs Predicted
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7Miami University-2.69-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Hope College0.280.2%1st Place
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2.82Western Michigan University0.340.2%1st Place
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4.18Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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2.92Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
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3.54University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.25Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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6.4Miami University-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libby Reeg | 24.6% | 22.6% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Mabie | 24.6% | 23.9% | 18.5% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Addison Amstutz | 8.5% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 26.3% | 18.3% | 5.3% |
| David Aspery | 23.7% | 19.9% | 21.1% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Drew Blackburn | 13.4% | 16.8% | 18.9% | 20.0% | 18.0% | 10.2% | 2.7% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 41.0% | 18.4% |
| Brittany Nordhaus | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 15.1% | 71.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.