← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Michigan University0.34+1.82vs Predicted
-
2Ohio State University0.34+0.84vs Predicted
-
3Hope College0.28-0.08vs Predicted
-
4University of Toledo-0.09-0.49vs Predicted
-
5Grand Valley State University-0.58-0.77vs Predicted
-
6Northern Michigan University-1.37-0.72vs Predicted
-
7Miami University-2.69-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.82Western Michigan University0.340.2%1st Place
-
2.84Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
-
2.92Hope College0.280.2%1st Place
-
3.51University of Toledo-0.090.2%1st Place
-
4.23Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
-
5.28Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
-
6.39Miami University-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mabie | 24.9% | 24.5% | 18.8% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| David Aspery | 23.9% | 21.9% | 22.6% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Libby Reeg | 22.6% | 21.9% | 20.3% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Drew Blackburn | 15.7% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 20.2% | 10.0% | 1.9% |
| Addison Amstutz | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 18.8% | 24.6% | 20.0% | 5.3% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 40.4% | 19.1% |
| Brittany Nordhaus | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 14.5% | 71.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.