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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University-0.58+2.73vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.34+0.52vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University-1.19+1.63vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University0.34-1.42vs Predicted
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5Miami University-2.69+1.37vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-0.09-2.89vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.58-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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2.52Ohio State University0.340.3%1st Place
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4.63Northern Michigan University-1.190.1%1st Place
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2.58Western Michigan University0.340.3%1st Place
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6.37Miami University-2.690.0%1st Place
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3.11University of Toledo-0.090.2%1st Place
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5.05Hope College-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addison Amstutz | 13.1% | 12.9% | 17.3% | 19.8% | 21.9% | 11.9% | 3.1% |
| David Aspery | 28.8% | 26.3% | 22.0% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Diamond | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 16.0% | 25.1% | 26.3% | 10.0% |
| Ryan Mabie | 26.8% | 25.9% | 21.6% | 15.6% | 8.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Brittany Nordhaus | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 15.5% | 69.2% |
| Drew Blackburn | 19.2% | 19.3% | 20.9% | 20.2% | 13.5% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| John Stack | 3.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 18.1% | 36.1% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.