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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.34+1.45vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.58+1.71vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University-1.37+1.86vs Predicted
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4Hope College-1.58+1.14vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.09-1.88vs Predicted
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6Miami University-2.69+0.31vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University0.34-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Ohio State University0.340.3%1st Place
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3.71Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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4.86Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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5.14Hope College-1.580.0%1st Place
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3.12University of Toledo-0.090.2%1st Place
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6.31Miami University-2.690.0%1st Place
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2.42Western Michigan University0.340.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Aspery | 31.1% | 26.6% | 19.8% | 13.9% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Addison Amstutz | 10.4% | 14.9% | 18.6% | 22.5% | 20.2% | 10.3% | 3.1% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 25.6% | 28.1% | 13.0% |
| John Stack | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 21.2% | 33.0% | 18.0% |
| Drew Blackburn | 16.6% | 20.5% | 23.5% | 20.7% | 12.2% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Brittany Nordhaus | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 8.6% | 18.7% | 64.3% |
| Ryan Mabie | 32.7% | 25.1% | 20.8% | 12.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.