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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.51+0.65vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.81+0.94vs Predicted
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3Hope College-0.99+0.14vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.29-0.45vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-1.97-0.55vs Predicted
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6Miami University-2.78-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.65Western Michigan University0.510.6%1st Place
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2.94Ohio State University-0.810.2%1st Place
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3.14Hope College-0.990.1%1st Place
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3.55Grand Valley State University-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.45Northern Michigan University-1.970.0%1st Place
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5.26Miami University-2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Greve | 57.1% | 26.1% | 12.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 15.5% | 26.3% | 24.7% | 19.0% | 11.5% | 3.0% |
| Caroline Ritter | 13.4% | 21.6% | 24.4% | 22.3% | 14.6% | 3.7% |
| Nicholaas Zomer | 8.9% | 15.1% | 21.7% | 26.9% | 20.8% | 6.6% |
| Ian Pope | 3.5% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 18.9% | 31.2% | 26.3% |
| David Kellogg | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 21.1% | 60.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.