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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.51+0.63vs Predicted
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2Hope College-0.99+1.02vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.81-0.17vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.08-0.87vs Predicted
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5Miami University-2.78-0.04vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-3.38-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.63Western Michigan University0.510.6%1st Place
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3.02Hope College-0.990.1%1st Place
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2.83Ohio State University-0.810.2%1st Place
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3.13Grand Valley State University-1.080.1%1st Place
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4.96Miami University-2.780.0%1st Place
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5.43Northern Michigan University-3.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Greve | 57.2% | 26.8% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Ritter | 12.8% | 23.4% | 25.6% | 26.7% | 10.2% | 1.3% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 15.8% | 25.4% | 27.4% | 23.9% | 6.5% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Harrison | 11.7% | 18.9% | 26.5% | 31.6% | 10.2% | 1.1% |
| David Kellogg | 1.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 45.7% | 34.3% |
| Hannah Milkie | 0.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 26.7% | 62.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.