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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.51+0.48vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-1.29+1.02vs Predicted
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3Miami University-2.78+1.36vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.81-1.46vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-1.97-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48Western Michigan University0.510.7%1st Place
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3.02Grand Valley State University-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.36Miami University-2.780.0%1st Place
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2.54Ohio State University-0.810.2%1st Place
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3.61Northern Michigan University-1.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Greve | 65.5% | 23.9% | 8.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Nicholaas Zomer | 9.2% | 22.2% | 34.9% | 25.0% | 8.7% |
| David Kellogg | 2.4% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 19.0% | 63.4% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 16.3% | 36.5% | 28.0% | 15.4% | 3.8% |
| Ian Pope | 6.6% | 11.9% | 18.8% | 39.0% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.