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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.51+0.69vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-1.08+1.30vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University-1.97+1.39vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.99-0.79vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.81-1.86vs Predicted
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6Miami University-2.78-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.69Western Michigan University0.510.6%1st Place
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3.3Grand Valley State University-1.080.1%1st Place
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4.39Northern Michigan University-1.970.1%1st Place
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3.21Hope College-0.990.1%1st Place
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3.14Ohio State University-0.810.1%1st Place
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5.27Miami University-2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Greve | 55.3% | 27.5% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Harrison | 11.4% | 20.3% | 23.9% | 21.2% | 18.0% | 5.2% |
| Ian Pope | 5.3% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 35.1% | 23.5% |
| Caroline Ritter | 12.6% | 19.4% | 24.8% | 24.7% | 14.8% | 3.7% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 13.2% | 22.5% | 23.2% | 23.8% | 12.8% | 4.5% |
| David Kellogg | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 18.3% | 63.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.