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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.14+3.98vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+7.34vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.95+5.40vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.26+3.37vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.61+1.38vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.36+4.65vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-0.87vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.85-2.77vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.82-0.18vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.73-4.04vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.80-1.89vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-1.67vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.94-4.12vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51-0.56vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan0.85-5.76vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.61-2.26vs Predicted
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17Bates College-1.91-0.61vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.97-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Brown University2.1413.8%1st Place
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9.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.884.5%1st Place
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8.4Boston University0.955.7%1st Place
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7.37University of South Florida1.266.2%1st Place
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6.38Roger Williams University1.619.3%1st Place
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10.65University of Vermont0.362.2%1st Place
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6.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.6210.2%1st Place
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5.23Harvard University1.8513.6%1st Place
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8.82University of Rhode Island0.824.5%1st Place
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5.96Boston College1.7311.2%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University0.804.3%1st Place
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10.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.493.1%1st Place
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8.88Jacksonville University0.944.9%1st Place
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13.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.511.2%1st Place
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9.24University of Michigan0.854.2%1st Place
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13.74University of New Hampshire-0.610.8%1st Place
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16.39Bates College-1.910.1%1st Place
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16.6Middlebury College-1.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 13.8% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Balunas | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Efe Guder | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tristan McDonald | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marco Welch | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| William Kulas | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 13.6% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Alex Lech | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Schmidt | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ella Demand | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Darby Smith | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Evan Tofolo | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 15.8% | 21.9% | 14.3% | 4.6% |
| Ben Visco | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| James Frady | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 23.6% | 17.1% | 5.5% |
| Georgia Green | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 10.4% | 31.1% | 40.7% |
| Aengus Onken | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 10.1% | 27.4% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.