← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Michigan University0.51+0.68vs Predicted
-
2Grand Valley State University-1.08+1.29vs Predicted
-
3Ohio State University-0.81-0.02vs Predicted
-
4Northern Michigan University-1.97+0.39vs Predicted
-
5Hope College-0.99-1.62vs Predicted
-
6Miami University-2.78-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.68Western Michigan University0.510.6%1st Place
-
3.29Grand Valley State University-1.080.1%1st Place
-
2.98Ohio State University-0.810.1%1st Place
-
4.39Northern Michigan University-1.970.0%1st Place
-
3.38Hope College-0.990.1%1st Place
-
5.27Miami University-2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Greve | 55.9% | 27.3% | 11.1% | 4.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Harrison | 11.9% | 19.6% | 23.7% | 22.4% | 17.1% | 5.3% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 14.6% | 24.9% | 24.6% | 21.9% | 11.5% | 2.5% |
| Ian Pope | 4.6% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 19.1% | 34.3% | 22.7% |
| Caroline Ritter | 11.3% | 17.9% | 23.6% | 23.0% | 17.2% | 7.0% |
| David Kellogg | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 19.4% | 62.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.