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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+4.50vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.04+7.69vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.93+7.24vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.80+6.28vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.39+2.96vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.72+0.70vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.27+1.51vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-0.97vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58+2.36vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.07+3.52vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.23-2.22vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.98-1.98vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.63vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.43-2.40vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.24-6.49vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.87-1.98vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.75-6.16vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.60-6.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.69Tufts University3.040.0%1st Place
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10.24Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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10.28Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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7.96Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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6.7Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.51Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.36University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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13.52University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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8.78Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.02Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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5.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.6Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.51Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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14.02SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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10.84Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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11.07Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 13.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gowrie | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Matthew Lyons | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Adam Ceely | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% |
| Scott Ewing | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 16.0% | 22.5% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 12.8% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 29.9% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 5.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.