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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.65vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.04+7.75vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+2.38vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.93+5.86vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.80+5.31vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.72+0.74vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.27+1.52vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.98+1.67vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.23-0.41vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.87+4.15vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-3.78vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.39-3.68vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.43-1.14vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.58-3.00vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.07-1.77vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.75-5.20vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.24-8.20vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.60-6.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.75Tufts University3.040.0%1st Place
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5.38Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.86Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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10.31Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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6.74Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.52Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.67Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.59Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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14.15SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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7.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.32Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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11.86Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.0University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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13.23University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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10.8Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.8Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.13Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 11.8% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Casey Gowrie | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Raul Rios | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.8% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% |
| Matthew Lyons | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.7% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 30.2% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 10.2% |
| Adam Ceely | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% |
| Scott Ewing | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 20.4% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.