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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+5.98vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+3.39vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.58+8.65vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.93+5.83vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.39+2.93vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.98+3.67vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.23+1.65vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-0.98vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24-0.43vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.60+1.54vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.27-2.36vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-6.27vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College1.87+0.79vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.43-2.33vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.80-4.60vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.07-2.60vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.75-6.14vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.04-8.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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5.39Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.65University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.83Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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7.93Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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9.67Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.65Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.57Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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11.54Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.64Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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5.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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13.79SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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11.67Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.4Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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13.4University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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10.86Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Raul Rios | 12.0% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 7.4% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 27.4% |
| Thomas Balk | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% |
| Matthew Lyons | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Scott Ewing | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 23.2% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% |
| Casey Gowrie | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.