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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+5.90vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.55vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+2.43vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+4.53vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.23+3.61vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.39+2.06vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+0.13vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.80+2.36vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.87+4.98vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75+0.93vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.04-1.40vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.27-3.15vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.93-3.16vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.98-4.60vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.60-3.75vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.43-3.97vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.07-3.61vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.58-6.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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5.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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5.43Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.53Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.61Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.06Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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7.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.36Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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13.98SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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10.93Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.6Tufts University3.040.0%1st Place
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8.85Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.84Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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9.4Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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11.25Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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12.03Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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13.39University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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11.15University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 11.7% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Lyons | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 16.5% | 27.3% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% |
| Casey Gowrie | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 6.8% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 12.5% |
| Scott Ewing | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 21.7% |
| Adam Ceely | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.