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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.66vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+4.82vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.07+10.49vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+1.27vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+3.52vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.39+2.02vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.93+2.91vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.43+3.88vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.98+0.69vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.04-0.29vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.87+3.03vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.23-2.98vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.58-1.78vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.60-3.04vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-7.93vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.27-7.43vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.80-6.36vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.75-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.82Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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13.49University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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5.27Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.52Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.02Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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9.91Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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11.88Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.69Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.71Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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14.03SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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9.02Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.22University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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10.96Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.57Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.64Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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10.54Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 12.1% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Scott Ewing | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 21.1% |
| Raul Rios | 13.3% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Casey Gowrie | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Arthur Libby | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 29.9% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Adam Ceely | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Lyons | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 4.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.