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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+8.91vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.24+6.83vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.60+8.54vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.23+4.54vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+0.31vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.72+0.70vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.39+0.96vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.27+0.42vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.43+2.98vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-4.41vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.93-0.93vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-0.96vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.04-3.68vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.58-2.97vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.87-1.08vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.80-5.46vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.07-3.60vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-11.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.91Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.83Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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11.54Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.54Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.31Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.7Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.96Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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8.42Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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11.98Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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5.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.07Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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11.04Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.32Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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11.03University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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13.92SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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10.54Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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13.4University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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6.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 7.6% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Raul Rios | 14.8% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 14.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% |
| Casey Gowrie | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Adam Ceely | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 14.7% | 28.4% |
| Matthew Lyons | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% |
| Scott Ewing | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 21.7% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.