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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.39+7.20vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+8.91vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.33vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.27+4.45vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.23+3.63vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.98+3.75vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.58+4.34vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.43+3.82vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-3.61vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.60+1.56vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.07+2.33vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.93-1.77vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.24-4.57vs Predicted
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14Boston College4.12-8.89vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.72-8.34vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.04-6.45vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.80-6.48vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.87-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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10.91Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.45Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.63Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.75Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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11.34University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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11.82Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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5.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.56Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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13.33University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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10.23Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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8.43Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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5.11Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.66Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.55Tufts University3.040.0%1st Place
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10.52Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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13.79SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Johnstone | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% |
| Adam Ceely | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.5% |
| Thomas Balk | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 11.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 12.2% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 7.9% |
| Scott Ewing | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 23.3% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Raul Rios | 15.0% | 15.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Casey Gowrie | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Lyons | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.