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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+5.98vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+3.42vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+5.84vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.98+5.59vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.39+2.94vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.93+3.95vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.27+1.55vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-1.01vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58+2.36vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.60+1.55vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-5.48vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.23-3.03vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.80-2.66vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-3.69vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.43-3.06vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.87-1.90vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.07-3.61vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.04-8.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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5.42Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.84Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.59Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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7.94Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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9.95Stanford University2.930.1%1st Place
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8.55Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.36University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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11.55Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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5.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.97Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.34Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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10.31Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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11.94Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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14.1SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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13.39University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Raul Rios | 11.0% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Adam Ceely | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 7.6% |
| Avery Fanning | 13.8% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Lyons | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 9.4% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 30.1% |
| Scott Ewing | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 22.8% |
| Casey Gowrie | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.