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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+8.21vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.61+4.28vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+3.32vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.14+0.98vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.85+0.38vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.36+4.58vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.73-1.03vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.95+0.52vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.26-1.55vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.80-1.01vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.94-2.11vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.85-3.09vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51+0.70vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-3.75vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.61-1.44vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.97+0.62vs Predicted
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17Bates College-1.91-0.62vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island0.82-8.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.884.2%1st Place
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6.28Roger Williams University1.6110.5%1st Place
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6.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.629.5%1st Place
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4.98Brown University2.1413.1%1st Place
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5.38Harvard University1.8511.9%1st Place
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10.58University of Vermont0.363.0%1st Place
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5.97Boston College1.7311.3%1st Place
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8.52Boston University0.954.8%1st Place
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7.45University of South Florida1.267.9%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University0.805.2%1st Place
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8.89Jacksonville University0.944.5%1st Place
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8.91University of Michigan0.854.9%1st Place
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13.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.511.1%1st Place
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10.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.492.9%1st Place
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13.56University of New Hampshire-0.610.7%1st Place
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16.62Middlebury College-1.970.1%1st Place
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16.38Bates College-1.910.1%1st Place
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9.02University of Rhode Island0.824.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Reeser | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Tristan McDonald | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 13.1% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marco Welch | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Alex Lech | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Balunas | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Schmidt | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Darby Smith | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ben Visco | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Evan Tofolo | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 23.1% | 16.2% | 5.0% |
| Ella Demand | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| James Frady | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 14.8% | 23.4% | 14.6% | 6.0% |
| Aengus Onken | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 9.8% | 29.9% | 45.5% |
| Georgia Green | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 9.6% | 30.3% | 42.5% |
| Owen Grainger | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.