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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.19+8.56vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.89+4.49vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+3.92vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.06+6.17vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.49+3.16vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+5.08vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79+4.80vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.64+3.93vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.76+2.53vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.63+2.24vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.92-0.05vs Predicted
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12Stanford University4.05-1.54vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-5.13vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy4.34-5.15vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University4.78-7.98vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.70-4.21vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48-4.26vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut2.51-1.50vs Predicted
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19Harvard University4.50-10.93vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin2.72-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.56Yale University4.190.0%1st Place
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6.49Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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6.92St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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10.17Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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8.16Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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11.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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11.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.0%1st Place
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11.93College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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11.53Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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12.24Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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10.95Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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10.46Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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7.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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8.85U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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7.02Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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11.79Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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12.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
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16.5University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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8.07Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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15.87University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morris | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 10.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Williams | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Fred Strammer | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Sam Padnos | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Mac Mace | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Stephanie Roble | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Daniel Perkins | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 3.7% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Kevin Laube | 5.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Vann | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Cy Thompson | 9.5% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.6% |
| Sean Andrew | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 35.5% |
| Tedd Himler | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Boylan | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.