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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+4.52vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+4.91vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.53vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.93+5.84vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+2.06vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.24+2.68vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+3.65vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.98+1.58vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.39-1.07vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.27-1.21vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.58+0.50vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.80-1.16vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.04-3.66vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.23-5.61vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.60-3.80vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.07-2.63vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.43-4.94vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.87-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.91Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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5.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.84Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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7.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.68Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.65Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.58Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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7.93Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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8.79Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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11.5University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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10.84Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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9.34Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.39Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.2Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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13.37University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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12.06Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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13.81SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 12.3% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Adam Ceely | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% |
| Matthew Lyons | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% |
| Casey Gowrie | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% |
| Scott Ewing | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 21.1% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% |
| Arthur Libby | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.