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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.65vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+5.30vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+2.40vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.98+5.62vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.27+3.49vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.87+7.96vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.39+0.98vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.80+2.38vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.04+0.39vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75+0.95vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.58+0.54vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.72-4.99vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.23-4.45vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.07-0.99vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.93-5.09vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.24-7.34vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.60-5.59vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.43-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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5.4Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.62Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.49Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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13.96SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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7.98Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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10.38Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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9.39Tufts University3.040.0%1st Place
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10.95Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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11.54University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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7.01Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.55Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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13.01University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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9.91Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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8.66Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.41Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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11.79Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 11.7% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Raul Rios | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 27.5% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Lyons | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% |
| Casey Gowrie | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% |
| Adam Ceely | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Scott Ewing | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 19.3% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% |
| Thomas Balk | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.