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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.80+9.64vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.27+6.76vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.33vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.39+3.92vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.60+6.14vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.24+2.66vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.72-0.30vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75+2.55vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.04+0.49vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.98-0.03vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.07+2.37vs Predicted
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12Boston College4.12-6.38vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.93-3.26vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-8.72vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.58-3.71vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.87-2.03vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.23-8.18vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.43-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.64Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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8.76Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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7.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.92Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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11.14Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.66Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.7Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.55Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.49Tufts University3.040.0%1st Place
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9.97Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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13.37University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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5.62Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.74Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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5.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.29University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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13.97SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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8.82Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.77Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Lyons | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
| Casey Gowrie | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Scott Ewing | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 22.1% |
| Raul Rios | 13.1% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% |
| Avery Fanning | 13.0% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 27.9% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Thomas Balk | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.