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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.01+8.96vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+3.15vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.92+7.44vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.24+4.82vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+6.33vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.21+3.03vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.38+1.35vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.42+4.05vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.77-2.27vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.37+2.60vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.90-0.62vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-2.88vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College1.19+2.67vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.56-6.67vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.68-3.91vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.48-7.99vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.73-10.01vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.42-10.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.96Stanford University3.010.0%1st Place
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5.15Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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10.44University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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8.82Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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9.03Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.35Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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12.05Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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6.73Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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12.6Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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9.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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15.67SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
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7.33Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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11.09Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.01Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.99Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.94Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Clarida | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Kayla Ellis | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 6.8% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 8.3% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Luke Andersen | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 12.1% |
| William Crary | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| David Larson | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Hall | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 13.1% | 53.5% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.4% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.