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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.90+9.43vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.01+8.02vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.38+5.49vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.24+1.07vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.48+2.85vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.73+0.84vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.92+3.12vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.77-1.29vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-0.29vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.21-0.75vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.68+0.26vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.37+0.72vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.42-1.05vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.42-6.16vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.56-7.50vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-4.48vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.24-7.98vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.19-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.43University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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10.02Stanford University3.010.0%1st Place
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8.49Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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5.07Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.85Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.84Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.12University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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6.71Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.25Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.26Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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12.72Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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11.95Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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7.84Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.5Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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11.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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15.71SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Crary | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Russell Clarida | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.2% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Baird | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 5.8% |
| Luke Andersen | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 17.2% | 11.4% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 7.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Kayla Ellis | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Hall | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 12.8% | 54.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.