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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+7.36vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+5.04vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+5.95vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.01+5.74vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.24+0.09vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.42+6.20vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+4.41vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.38+0.18vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.21-0.11vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.77-3.00vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.48-3.02vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.24-2.76vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.92-2.94vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.90-4.03vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.56-7.50vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.19-0.13vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.68-5.70vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.37-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.36Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.04Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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9.74Stanford University3.010.0%1st Place
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5.09Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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12.2Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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11.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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8.18Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.89Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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7.0Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.98Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.24Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.06University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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7.5Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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15.87SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
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11.3Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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12.24Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| David Larson | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Russell Clarida | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.4% | 15.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 9.5% |
| Kayla Ellis | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 5.9% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Baird | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| William Crary | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Hall | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 14.7% | 54.3% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 6.9% |
| Luke Andersen | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.