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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.78+5.96vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.89+4.50vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+6.71vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+3.63vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.49+3.21vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.05+4.34vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.63+5.46vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.06+1.97vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79+2.31vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.70+1.85vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-4.13vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy4.34-2.89vs Predicted
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13Harvard University4.50-4.42vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut2.51+2.45vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.64-2.94vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48-3.23vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-6.22vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.92-7.02vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.72-3.28vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University3.76-8.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.96Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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6.5Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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9.71Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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8.21Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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10.34Stanford University4.050.0%1st Place
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12.46Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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9.97Dartmouth College4.060.0%1st Place
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11.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.0%1st Place
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11.85Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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6.87St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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8.58Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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16.45University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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12.06College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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12.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
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10.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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10.98Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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15.72University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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11.76Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cy Thompson | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Sinks | 11.1% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Fred Strammer | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Daniel Perkins | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 4.4% |
| Sam Williams | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Sam Padnos | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Massimo Soriano | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% |
| Michael Menninger | 11.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Tedd Himler | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Sean Andrew | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 16.5% | 36.4% |
| Mac Mace | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 6.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Brendan Boylan | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 18.0% | 26.6% |
| Stephanie Roble | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.