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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.14+3.98vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.61+4.43vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+3.15vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.95+4.53vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+4.17vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.73-0.15vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.26+0.47vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+1.98vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.85-3.69vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.94-0.96vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.82-1.99vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.80-2.83vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51+0.57vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.61-0.15vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.36-4.25vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.85-6.97vs Predicted
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17Bates College-1.91-0.69vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.97-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Brown University2.1414.3%1st Place
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6.43Roger Williams University1.619.7%1st Place
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6.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.628.8%1st Place
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8.53Boston University0.954.4%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.884.3%1st Place
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5.85Boston College1.7311.5%1st Place
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7.47University of South Florida1.266.5%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.493.7%1st Place
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5.31Harvard University1.8512.9%1st Place
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9.04Jacksonville University0.944.5%1st Place
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9.01University of Rhode Island0.824.6%1st Place
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9.17Tufts University0.804.5%1st Place
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13.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.511.0%1st Place
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13.85University of New Hampshire-0.611.2%1st Place
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10.75University of Vermont0.362.9%1st Place
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9.03University of Michigan0.854.2%1st Place
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16.31Bates College-1.910.4%1st Place
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16.39Middlebury College-1.970.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 14.3% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| William Kulas | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Balunas | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ella Demand | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Strom | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Owen Grainger | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Grant Schmidt | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Evan Tofolo | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 15.5% | 20.9% | 16.2% | 4.9% |
| James Frady | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 23.1% | 17.6% | 6.7% |
| Marco Welch | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Ben Visco | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Georgia Green | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 11.1% | 28.9% | 41.6% |
| Aengus Onken | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 27.6% | 45.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.