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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+5.82vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.38+6.25vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+4.97vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.90+5.79vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.37+6.90vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.01+3.56vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.68+3.88vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.24-3.18vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-0.61vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.24-1.13vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.21-2.15vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.19+3.87vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.92-3.27vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.77-7.70vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.29-2.71vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-4.78vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.48-9.26vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.42-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.25Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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7.97Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.79University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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11.9Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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9.56Stanford University3.010.0%1st Place
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10.88Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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4.82Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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8.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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8.87Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.85Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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15.87SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
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9.73University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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6.3Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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12.29Bowdoin College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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7.74Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.75Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| William Crary | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Luke Andersen | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 8.0% |
| Russell Clarida | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.2% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% |
| Andrew Hall | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 54.5% |
| Andrew Baird | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Fullerton | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 9.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 5.4% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Wagner | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.