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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.33+1.27vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.90+2.57vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.89-0.12vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.72+0.88vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.60+0.08vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.48-0.70vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy1.32-1.34vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.62-1.13vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.04-1.17vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-1.88-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27University of Vermont3.330.4%1st Place
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4.57Harvard University1.900.1%1st Place
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2.88Bowdoin College2.890.2%1st Place
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4.88University of Connecticut1.720.1%1st Place
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5.08Boston College1.600.1%1st Place
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5.3Northeastern University1.480.1%1st Place
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5.66Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
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6.87Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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7.83McGill University0.040.0%1st Place
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9.66Brandeis University-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kelleher | 39.4% | 26.8% | 15.6% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Millham | 9.2% | 9.5% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 23.3% | 24.4% | 20.1% | 16.2% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Presti | 6.5% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| David Grosso | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Walsh | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 6.4% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Campbell | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 6.9% | 0.9% |
| Tom McKenzie | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 23.7% | 24.0% | 3.6% |
| Gabrielle Heine | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 17.9% | 43.5% | 9.8% |
| Noah Aschen | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 8.7% | 84.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.