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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.14+4.07vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.61+4.43vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.95+5.50vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.82+4.97vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.80+4.25vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.85-0.79vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.26+0.34vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.94+0.78vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+0.94vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.85-0.91vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.73-4.95vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-2.83vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.61+0.72vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51-0.53vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.97+1.45vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-9.59vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.36-6.26vs Predicted
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18Bates College-1.91-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07Brown University2.1414.3%1st Place
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6.43Roger Williams University1.619.8%1st Place
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8.5Boston University0.954.6%1st Place
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8.97University of Rhode Island0.824.8%1st Place
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9.25Tufts University0.804.3%1st Place
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5.21Harvard University1.8513.2%1st Place
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7.34University of South Florida1.266.8%1st Place
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8.78Jacksonville University0.945.1%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.493.5%1st Place
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9.09University of Michigan0.854.0%1st Place
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6.05Boston College1.7310.1%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.884.5%1st Place
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13.72University of New Hampshire-0.610.9%1st Place
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13.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.511.5%1st Place
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16.45Middlebury College-1.970.3%1st Place
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6.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.629.2%1st Place
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10.74University of Vermont0.362.7%1st Place
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16.41Bates College-1.910.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 14.3% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Balunas | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Owen Grainger | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Grant Schmidt | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Strom | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ella Demand | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Ben Visco | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alex Lech | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| James Frady | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 21.9% | 16.2% | 6.0% |
| Evan Tofolo | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 20.8% | 16.7% | 4.2% |
| Aengus Onken | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 10.5% | 27.0% | 45.8% |
| William Kulas | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marco Welch | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Georgia Green | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 29.8% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.