← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.25+6.29vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.03+6.12vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.19+4.47vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+1.17vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.79+0.10vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.97+2.12vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College2.34+3.75vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.43+2.31vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University3.14-1.63vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.23+1.47vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.38-0.26vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida2.40-1.14vs Predicted
-
13Stanford University2.10-1.42vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.19-2.93vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-6.89vs Predicted
-
16Boston University2.00-3.81vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University2.39-6.34vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College1.21-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.29Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
-
8.12Brown University3.030.0%1st Place
-
7.47Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
-
5.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
5.1Boston College3.790.1%1st Place
-
8.12Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
-
10.75Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
-
10.31Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
-
7.37Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
-
11.47Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
10.74Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
-
10.86University of South Florida2.400.0%1st Place
-
11.58Stanford University2.100.0%1st Place
-
11.07University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
-
8.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
-
12.19Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
-
10.66Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
-
14.63SUNY Maritime College1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| James Barry | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Ty Ingram | 14.5% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Richard Jones | 14.6% | 16.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dirk Johnson | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 3.5% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 6.5% |
| Dylan Farrell | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 4.5% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 5.4% |
| Cassie Obel | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% |
| August Sturm | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.6% |
| John Wehner | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% |
| Richard Hall | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.