← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.79+4.33vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+3.29vs Predicted
-
3Boston University2.00+9.40vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.19+3.30vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.03+2.87vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.97+2.13vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.43+3.32vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont2.19+3.30vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.25-2.01vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida2.40+0.75vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College2.34-0.10vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-3.51vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.38-2.54vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College1.21+0.50vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University3.14-7.56vs Predicted
-
16Stanford University2.10-4.20vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University2.39-6.32vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University2.23-6.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.33Boston College3.790.1%1st Place
-
5.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
12.4Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
-
7.3Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
-
7.87Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
-
8.13Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
-
10.32Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
-
11.3University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
-
6.99Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
-
10.75University of South Florida2.400.0%1st Place
-
10.9Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
-
8.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
-
10.46Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
-
14.5SUNY Maritime College1.210.0%1st Place
-
7.44Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
-
11.8Stanford University2.100.0%1st Place
-
10.68Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
-
11.05Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jones | 12.8% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 12.1% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.8% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| James Barry | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Dirk Johnson | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 4.7% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% |
| August Sturm | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Dylan Farrell | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Richard Hall | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 36.9% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Cassie Obel | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% |
| John Wehner | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.