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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.14+6.69vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+3.26vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.34+8.01vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.79+1.09vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.03+2.88vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.39+4.52vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.19+0.34vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.97+0.04vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.10+2.72vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.19+1.62vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-2.73vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.25-4.59vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.00-1.03vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.21+0.51vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.40-4.52vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.23-4.79vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.43-6.42vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.38-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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5.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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11.01Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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5.09Boston College3.790.2%1st Place
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7.88Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.52Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.34Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.04Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.72Stanford University2.100.0%1st Place
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11.62University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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7.41Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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11.97Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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14.51SUNY Maritime College1.210.0%1st Place
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10.48University of South Florida2.400.0%1st Place
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11.21Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.58Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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10.4Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Uhl | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Ty Ingram | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% |
| Richard Jones | 15.1% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| John Wehner | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% |
| Duncan Williford | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Dirk Johnson | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Cassie Obel | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 8.3% |
| August Sturm | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.6% |
| Richard Hall | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 37.5% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.3% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% |
| Dylan Farrell | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.