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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.79+4.31vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.25+5.24vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.03+5.17vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.19+3.26vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.34+5.67vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.97+2.14vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.19+4.33vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.23+3.07vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.00+3.10vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.39+0.82vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.38-0.28vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-6.47vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.43-2.75vs Predicted
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14Cornell University3.14-6.76vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-6.91vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.40-5.46vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.10-5.14vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.21-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31Boston College3.790.1%1st Place
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7.24Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.17Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.26Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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10.67Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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8.14Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.33University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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11.07Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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12.1Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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10.82Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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10.72Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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5.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.25Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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7.24Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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10.54University of South Florida2.400.0%1st Place
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11.86Stanford University2.100.0%1st Place
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14.65SUNY Maritime College1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jones | 12.3% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| James Barry | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% |
| Dirk Johnson | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Benjamin Craig | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 5.6% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 9.7% |
| John Wehner | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
| Dylan Farrell | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% |
| Ty Ingram | 14.2% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| August Sturm | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Cassie Obel | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% |
| Richard Hall | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 38.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.