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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.19+6.51vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.03+6.13vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.32vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.25+2.97vs Predicted
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5Cornell University3.14+2.43vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.97+2.18vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.10+4.71vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.00+4.03vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.34+1.73vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-1.57vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.79-5.72vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.43-1.28vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.38-2.58vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.19-2.93vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.39-4.52vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.23-4.69vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.40-6.39vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.21-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.51Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.13Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.97Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.43Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.18Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.71Stanford University2.100.0%1st Place
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12.03Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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10.73Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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5.28Boston College3.790.1%1st Place
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10.72Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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10.42Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.07University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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10.48Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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11.31Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.61University of South Florida2.400.0%1st Place
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14.66SUNY Maritime College1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Williford | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| James Barry | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| Ty Ingram | 12.0% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Dirk Johnson | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Cassie Obel | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| August Sturm | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Richard Jones | 14.5% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% |
| Dylan Farrell | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% |
| John Wehner | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
| Richard Hall | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 15.2% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.