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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.61+5.39vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.73+4.00vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.26+4.43vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.14+0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.82+4.02vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+3.27vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.85-1.74vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-1.76vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+0.99vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.95-1.54vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.36-0.32vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.85-2.98vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.94-4.16vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.80-4.73vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.97+1.49vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51-2.55vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.61-3.11vs Predicted
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18Bates College-1.91-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39Roger Williams University1.618.8%1st Place
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6.0Boston College1.7310.5%1st Place
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7.43University of South Florida1.266.1%1st Place
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4.94Brown University2.1414.4%1st Place
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9.02University of Rhode Island0.824.6%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.884.1%1st Place
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5.26Harvard University1.8513.2%1st Place
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6.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.6210.2%1st Place
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9.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.494.3%1st Place
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8.46Boston University0.955.9%1st Place
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10.68University of Vermont0.362.6%1st Place
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9.02University of Michigan0.854.5%1st Place
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8.84Jacksonville University0.944.8%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University0.804.2%1st Place
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16.49Middlebury College-1.970.1%1st Place
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13.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.510.8%1st Place
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13.89University of New Hampshire-0.610.7%1st Place
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16.36Bates College-1.910.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan McDonald | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 10.5% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 14.4% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Strom | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Demand | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Balunas | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Marco Welch | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Ben Visco | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Darby Smith | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Grant Schmidt | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Aengus Onken | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 10.8% | 28.5% | 44.5% |
| Evan Tofolo | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 15.6% | 21.9% | 13.2% | 5.5% |
| James Frady | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 22.8% | 17.5% | 6.2% |
| Georgia Green | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 9.8% | 30.6% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.