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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.79+4.35vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.03+6.09vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.33vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.19+3.24vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.97+3.11vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.25+1.07vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+1.21vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.43+2.30vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.34+1.75vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.38+0.82vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.40-0.34vs Predicted
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12Cornell University3.14-4.22vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.00-1.08vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.39-3.75vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.23-3.85vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.19-4.54vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.10-5.11vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.21-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Boston College3.790.1%1st Place
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8.09Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.24Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.11Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.07Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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10.3Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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10.75Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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10.82Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.66University of South Florida2.400.0%1st Place
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7.78Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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11.92Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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10.25Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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11.15Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.46University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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11.89Stanford University2.100.0%1st Place
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14.62SUNY Maritime College1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jones | 12.9% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Ty Ingram | 12.1% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Dirk Johnson | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| August Sturm | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 4.1% |
| Dylan Farrell | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 4.5% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% |
| John Wehner | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% |
| Benjamin Craig | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% |
| Cassie Obel | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% |
| Richard Hall | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.