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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.25+6.31vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.79+3.23vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.35vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.97+4.12vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.38+5.51vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.19+1.35vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.43+3.42vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.00+4.01vs Predicted
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9Cornell University3.14-1.56vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.40+0.79vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.19+0.55vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.03-3.77vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-4.98vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.34-3.54vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.39-4.53vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.23-4.69vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.10-5.18vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.21-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.31Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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5.23Boston College3.790.1%1st Place
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5.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.12Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.51Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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10.42Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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12.01Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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7.44Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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10.79University of South Florida2.400.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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8.23Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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10.46Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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10.47Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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11.31Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.82Stanford University2.100.0%1st Place
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14.61SUNY Maritime College1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Richard Jones | 12.3% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 12.3% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dirk Johnson | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% |
| Dylan Farrell | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% |
| Duncan Williford | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 11.3% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.4% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% |
| James Barry | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| August Sturm | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| John Wehner | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.5% |
| Cassie Obel | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% |
| Richard Hall | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 37.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.