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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.14+4.06vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+4.18vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.61+3.37vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.80+5.46vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.73+1.05vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.82+2.94vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.26+0.35vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.85+1.04vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.85-3.70vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+0.09vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.94-2.37vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-2.70vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.36-2.42vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.97+2.51vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.61-1.25vs Predicted
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16Bates College-1.91+0.43vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51-3.55vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.95-9.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Brown University2.1413.3%1st Place
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6.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.6210.7%1st Place
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6.37Roger Williams University1.618.8%1st Place
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9.46Tufts University0.803.3%1st Place
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6.05Boston College1.7310.1%1st Place
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8.94University of Rhode Island0.824.3%1st Place
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7.35University of South Florida1.267.4%1st Place
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9.04University of Michigan0.854.7%1st Place
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5.3Harvard University1.8513.3%1st Place
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10.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.492.8%1st Place
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8.63Jacksonville University0.946.0%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.884.7%1st Place
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10.58University of Vermont0.362.9%1st Place
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16.51Middlebury College-1.970.4%1st Place
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13.75University of New Hampshire-0.611.1%1st Place
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16.43Bates College-1.910.2%1st Place
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13.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.511.1%1st Place
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8.49Boston University0.955.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 13.3% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Schmidt | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Alex Lech | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Efe Guder | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ben Visco | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Strom | 13.3% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Demand | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Darby Smith | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Marco Welch | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Aengus Onken | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 10.3% | 25.2% | 48.1% |
| James Frady | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 14.0% | 23.3% | 17.6% | 5.5% |
| Georgia Green | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 11.4% | 31.4% | 39.8% |
| Evan Tofolo | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 19.8% | 15.3% | 5.0% |
| Dylan Balunas | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.